Tropical system moving toward Gulf

A couple of tropical systems could be concerns for us

Afternoon temperatures Thursday will likely stay above average climbing into the upper 80s and lower 90s. High temperatures will stay in the mid-to-upper 90s through the remainder of the workweek. The tropical wave is now forecast to move into the eastern Gulf of Mexico by the end of the week.

On Friday, it will still be east or southeast of Florida, so it could bring mostly wind and rain to our area Saturday. Ship reports continue to indicate that tropical-storm-force wind gusts are occurring in some of the heavier squalls.

Once it crosses into the eastern Gulf there is the possibility for some development, maybe becoming a tropical depression or weak tropical storm.

It has a 20 percent chance of development over the next five days. There are now several other systems in the Atlantic.

It is forecast to move quickly to the west and could develop slowly over the next few days - but it won't approach the Lesser Antilles until at least early next week.

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"Further development is possible over the eastern Gulf of Mexico later this weekend", the National Weather Service said.

The upper-level pattern over the southeast United States will stay relatively the same through the week as a ridge is centered over the Appalachians. European model shows a stronger Florida Big Bend landfall, keeping us on the western and drier side. However, the conditions for further development are expected to improve over time once the system has moved into the Gulf.

The chance of formation over 48 hours and/or five days is low, recorded as only 10 percent by the NOAA. Tropical moisture (and cooler temps) may return by Sunday and early next week.

Both the European model and the American model do not have the system organizing until just before it reaches the beaches of the panhandle. Your weather updates can be found on News 2, and the WBRZ WX App. on Apple and Android devices.

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